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Barron's Roundtable - New Picks and a Mid-Year Review

Barron’s most recent issue provides new picks from the Roundtable analysts for the 2nd half of 2011, some of which are highlighted below. Barron’s also provides a scorecard for the picks made back in January 2011 but the returns do not consider dividends and don’t compare against appropriate benchmarks (small cap vs small cap index, etc.). Below is a summary of the performance of nine of the Barron’s roundtable participants for 2011, and where possible, performance of their 2010 picks. I’ve also highlighted two of the analysts – Oscar Schafer and Meryl Witmer, and provided more detailed information on their most recent picks and the January 2011 picks.

The two best performers year to date are Oscar Schafer and Meryl Witmer, both with a majority of small cap stock picks. The other participant with mostly small cap picks was Scott Black. MacAllaster, Gabelli, Cohen and Hickey all chose primarily large cap stocks. MacAllaster focused on large cap financials, which again are disappointing in 2011. Hickey made a large bet on precious metals stocks. Faber’s picks were primarily oil and precious metals. Bill Gross picked a closed end bond fund that he manages (which I wrote about previously) and a mortgage REIT.

Maryl Witmer

Meryl Witmer is adding 2 new picks at mid-year, Macquarie Infrastructure (MIC) and Innophos (IPHS) to the 5 picks she made in January 2011 (see below). From her perspective, MIC is significantly undervalued, and provides a solid 3.2% dividend while waiting to unlock the value. IPHS is an undervalued specialty chemicals manufacturer. Here is the status of her January 2011 picks:

Oscar Schafer

Oscar added three new picks to the five he made in January. For Xerox (XRX) he likes the transformation of the company to a tech services business model. TE Connectivity (TEL), is a pick that based on a continuation of growth in automobile electronics, a theme consistent with his previous picks this year Sensata Technologies (ST), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), both of which are up for the year and beating their benchmarks. His third pick, Salix Pharmaceuticals (SLXP), is a speciality pharma company that disappointed with a recent failure to obtain FDA approval for a key drug. He feels it is still well positioned to address a large market for irritable bowel syndrome, and to potentially be a takeover target. Here is an update on Oscar’s January picks and their performance:

For additional analysis of other Roundtable participants you can view their performance at likeassets.com. To better track your own performance and measure against the appropriate benchmarks try out the LikeAssets application available in the Seeking Alpha app store.

06.15.2011 Permalink

Trends in Retirement Planning Asset Allocation - Equities Now More Attractive Than Fixed Income

Over the past 5 years retirement planning strategies used by the top asset managers in the world have experienced an increase in equity allocations and have significantly increased exposure to non-traditional asset classes.

The rational conclusions are that asset managers now view equity investments as better values than fixed income investments, and that they are finding additional diversification value in non-traditional asset classes.

Investors doing their own retirement planning should compare their equity and non-traditional asset class exposure to the MarketGlide retirement planning market indexes noted in this article.

Plan Sponsors and advisors that select target date funds should re-examine target date options and determine how the asset allocation compares with the market average.

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05.03.2011 Permalink

Copycat Portfolios: Mid Cap Fund Manager's Top Dividend Stocks Yielding 4%

An article in Barron’s this weekend highlights some recent research about the performance of copycat strategies that track and invest in the largest stock holdings of successful fund managers.

Here is a key quote from the research: “A team led by University of Maryland finance professor Russ Wermers reports that you can beat the market by four percentage points a year, using a technique that systematically harvests the best stock selections from the fund industry.”

Of course there are thousands of fund managers and a multitude of strategies to consider.

I have selected an exceptional manager, Nicholas Equity Income Fund, to track based on these three key requirements: (1) A proven long-term manager that generates alpha; (2) an income focused strategy that generates high dividend yields; and (3) a mid-cap market focus to provide investors with some additional diversification beyond the typical large cap dividend champions.

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04.12.2011 Permalink

Largest Fund Manager's Top 10 Dividend Stocks Yielding a Healthy 4.8%

The American Funds mutual fund family continues to be one of the dominant fund managers despite some recent performance issues. It claims 7 of the world’s largest 15 mutual funds with those funds holding over $600 billion in assets.

Because American Funds now updates holdings every month, it is now possible for investors to follow and consider the funds’ top investments for their own portfolio.

In addition we can filter and focus on the highest yielding positions. We are also going to track these picks over time to see if investors can benefit from tracking the largest manager.

Here are the top 10 holdings that each yield over 3%, aggregated across six of their largest funds, as of 2/28/2011.

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03.28.2011 Permalink

How Are Picks from Abby Joseph Cohen, Archie MacAllaster and Mario Gabelli Performing?

Abby Joseph Cohen, Archie MacAllaster and Mario Gabelli provided their top picks for 2011 in the three Barron’s Roundtable issues in January.

All selected primarily large cap stocks, with Gabelli choosing a handful of small cap stocks.

Since it has been a few weeks since the picks became public, it might be a good time for investors interested in large cap stocks to take another look at these picks.

Here is a performance update for Abby, Archie and Mario after one month.

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03.24.2011 Permalink
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