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Performance Update - MarketGlide, Fidelity, Vanguard and T Rowe

MarketGlide Target Date Portfolios, available as sets of low-cost ETFs at FolioInvesting.com, are performing well against target date funds from the biggest names in the industry – Fidelity, Vanguard, and T Rowe. Using data from Zephyr and IDC, we analyzed performance and volatility for MarketGlide, Fidelity, Vanguard, and T Rowe for each target date. The performance and volatility numbers are displayed in the tables below, but here are a few highlights:

  • T Rowe placed #1 in YTD and one-year performance, but also was #1 in volatility for every target date.
  • MarketGlide placed #2 in YTD performance behind T Rowe in 9 of 10 target dates.
  • MarketGlide placed #2 in one-year performance, behind T Rowe in 8 of 10 target dates.
  • MarketGlide had the lowest volatility in 4 of 10 target dates and had the 2nd lowest volatility in 3 of 10 years.
  • In terms of one-year realized Sharpe Ratios (return/volatility), MarketGlide beats all three families in 9 of 10 target dates.


Year-to-Date Performance as of October 31, 2010

  MarketGlide Fidelity T. Rowe Vanguard
2010 8.6% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0%
2015 8.9% 8.3% 9.5% 8.9%
2020 9.2% 8.5% 9.7% 8.9%
2025 9.5% 8.7% 9.7% 8.9%
2030 9.5% 8.6% 9.8% 8.9%
2035 9.5% 8.4% 9.7% 8.9%
2040 9.5% 8.5% 9.8% 8.8%
2045 9.5% 8.4% 9.7% 8.9%
2050 9.4% 8.2% 9.7% 8.8%

Blue highlights the highest returns.
Red highlights the lowest returns.


One-year Performance as of October 31, 2010

  MarketGlide Fidelity T. Rowe Vanguard
2010 12.8% 13.3% 14.5% 13.3%
2015 13.9% 13.6% 15.8% 14.0%
2020 15.2% 15.0% 16.7% 14.7%
2025 16.3% 15.5% 17.3% 15.4%
2030 16.9% 16.1% 18.0% 16.0%
2035 17.3% 16.3% 18.3% 16.6%
2040 17.5% 16.5% 18.4% 16.6%
2045 17.6% 16.6% 18.3% 16.6%
2050 17.6% 16.5% 18.2% 16.6%

Blue highlights the highest returns.
Red highlights the lowest returns.


One-year Volatility as of October 31, 2010

  MarketGlide Fidelity T. Rowe Vanguard
2010 8.9% 10.5% 11.6% 9.3%
2015 10.7% 10.8% 13.6% 11.2%
2020 12.8% 13.0% 15.3% 12.8%
2025 14.6% 14.6% 16.7% 14.4%
2030 16.0% 15.8% 18.0% 15.9%
2035 16.9% 17.1% 18.9% 17.5%
2040 17.4% 17.4% 18.9% 17.5%
2045 17.8% 17.7% 19.0% 17.5%
2050 18.0% 18.4% 19.0% 17.5%

Blue highlights the lowest volatility.
Red highlights the highest volatility.


The MarketGlide Target Date Portfolios at FolioInvesting.com represent one possible implementation of the MarketGlide Target Date Indexes. The portfolios are available to investors and advisors and are updated quarterly. There are many other ways for institutions to create and implement their own variations of the MarketGlide Target Date Indexes. The solid risk adjusted performance of MarketGlide is evidence of the validity of MarketGlide’s market-based approach.

11.05.2010 Permalink

Know When to Dump a Losing Fund

A recent post from MarketWatch by Chuck Jaffe, ‘Know When to Dump a Losing Fund’, highlights the importance of measuring your holdings against the right benchmark. Chuck notes that Vanguard finally changed the manager for their US Growth Equity Fund (VWUSX) after a decade of underperformance. In the words of Chuck, “over the past decade, US Growth has been slaughtered, turning a $10,000 investment into $4,850”.

Check out VWUSX’s performance against an appropriate benchmark at LikeAssets. The fund has continuously underperformed, with LikeAssets scores ranging from -8 to -15 in recent years.

With LikeAssets, it’s easy to monitor your investments against the right benchmark. Give it a try for free. Enter one or two of your favorite investments in seconds and start monitoring today.

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10.26.2010 Permalink

You can now find LikeAssets in the Seeking Alpha App Store!

Today at Finovate our partner, Seeking Alpha, unveiled their new app store which includes a new application from LikeAssets.

On October 10th, the app store will go live to Seeking Alpha’s audience of investors, advisors and contributors. Our application has some exciting new features, such as automated download of your brokerage data with return calculations, a choice of benchmarks, asset classification, and more.

We’ll be offering two versions of the application – one that’s completely free, which offers easy portfolio management and accurate return calculations, and a premium version that includes all of the powerful features that LikeAssets has to offer.

Check out the app store at Seeking Alpha starting on 10/10 and let us know what you think! We’ll be listening to your feedback and will incorporate some of your favorite new features into LikeAssets.com.

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10.05.2010 Permalink

Helping investors understand alpha

There has been noteworthy discussion in recent articles about alphas and betas. It can get pretty confusing for an investor. Beta is a tool for measuring the sensitivity of the asset’s returns to market returns. It answers the question, “how much market risk are you bearing relative to the market itself?” A Beta of 1 means that the security moves pretty much in sync with the market and a beta of 0 means it moves independent of the market. Alpha provides a performance measurement of excess return over a risk adjusted market return (an appropriate benchmark, for example).

Roger Nusbaum posts about the alpha/beta debate and also refers to a post at The Capital Spectator which challenges the very existence of alpha, citing recent work done by John Cochrane from the University of Chicago. Roger lays out his case for why he still sees a world with alpha, but his post helps investors understand both arguments and become better educated on this critical topic.

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09.28.2010 Permalink

Rating the Raters - a Closer Look at Morningstar Stock and Mutual Fund Picks

Who rates the raters?

I thought it would be interesting to take a close look at the picks made on Morningstar.com since the beginning of 2009. Morningstar offers both free and premium services. This analysis refers only to the free advice investors could obtain from the various columnists.

If an investor followed every Morningstar stock pick over the last year and a half, he would have scratched out a slight premium to the market return. However, the mutual fund picks failed to deliver any value above their benchmark indexes. This is surprising since mutual fund research is Morningstar’s bread and butter.

Stock Picks

  • Out of 529 picks, 287 generated a positive return and 242 generated a negative return.
  • Generated a total average return of 6% and a median return of 3%.
  • 282 performed better than the LikeAssets Benchmark, and 247 performed worse.
  • Outperformed the LikeAssets Benchmark, with an average LikeAssets Score of 4%.
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08.25.2010 Permalink
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